Making Pediatric Medicine Go Away – The CDC Covid Data Age Group Scam
We have a new Age Group: 0-24 years. This defies the standards set by the American Academy of Pediatrics and the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Why this bad science?
The American FDA seems hellbent on approving Covid vaccines for children under 5 years of age. Vinay Prasad, MD, offers (10 March 2022) some thoughts on FDA Director Peter Mark’s willingness to lower the efficacy standard rather than deny approval. James Lyons-Weiler, PhD, author or co-author of peer-reviewed publications on Covid, provides (12 March 2022) an excellent breakdown both on the general situation and on Prasad’s commentary.
The Data Says…
What if you wanted to check the data which the American CDC makes available? You would discover something interesting. According to the new CDC Age Groups, the way the CDC now aggregates and presents the data, Pediatric Medicine no longer exists. Convenient.
We will explore the data set “Comorbidities and other conditions (updated 11 May 2022) regardless — in graphs and charts later in this post. But first, let’s review some basics about Pediatric Medicine.
For medical and public health purposes, infants, children, and adolescents differ from adults. Let us cite the American Academy of Pediatrics — “Dedicated to the Health of All Children”— on the “Age Limits of Pediatrics”:
Pediatrics is a multifaceted specialty that encompasses children’s physical, psychosocial, developmental, and mental health. Pediatric care may begin periconceptionally and continues through gestation, infancy, childhood, adolescence, and young adulthood.
What are the age ranges for Pediatric medical research? In general terms, to cite American Academy of Pediatrics again:
The US Department of Health and the Food and Drug Administration reference approximate age ranges for these phases of life, which consist of the following: infancy, between birth and 2 years of age; childhood, from 2 to 12 years of age; and adolescence, from 12 to 21 years of age.
Globally, among health professionals, we have debate over the upper-end. Is 21 years too low? If we are considering development of the prefrontal cortex, for example, perhaps yes. But we do NOT have much debate that medically speaking, the following categories do make good sense in general terms: infancy (birth to 2 years), childhood (2 to 12 years), and adolescence (12 to 21+).
For some aspects of child development, we might have good cause to further divide up one or more of these three generic stages. For example, Katrina Williams, MD, Department of Department of Paediatrics, Monash University, Australia, co-authored Standard 6: age groups for pediatric trials which discusses the eight age stages defined by the American National Institute of Child Health and Human Development:
Preterm neonatal; Term neonatal (birth to 27 days); Infancy (28 days to 12 months); Toddler (13 months to 2 years); Early childhood (2-5 years); Middle childhood (6-11 years); Early adolescence (12-18 years); and late adolescence (19-21 years).
But this further splitting is the opposite, obviously, of lumping them all together into young adulthood. Which is what the CDC has done.
The CDC Abolishes Pediatric Medicine in Data
Consider the following data set from the CDC, updated as of 11 May 2022, “Conditions Contributing to COVID-19 Deaths, by State and Age, Provisional 2020-2022.” Again, we will explore it below in a bit. But first, here are the eight Age Groups:
Infants, children, and adolescents are now “little adults.” This makes no general sense, and even less for a data set concerned with “Comorbidities and other conditions.” Why? Because the majority of “comorbidities and other conditions” listed by the CDC in this data set result from lifestyle diseases.
For example, for the year 2020 and the Age Group 75-84 years of age, the graph below shows all the other comorbidities or other conditions listed on the death certificate for “deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019.” Yes, that is the new phrasing of the CDC: “deaths involving” Covid and not deaths with Covid or deaths from Covid.
Unlike what we see in the graph above for Age Group 75-84, the CDC for 2020 reported no incidents of Alzheimer disease or of Vascular and unspecified dementia in the Age Group 0-24. Good to know. But certainly, American children can suffer from Diabetes (Type I is genetic), Obesity, and more.
So Why Not Treat Children as Adults?
So why not treat infants, children, and adolescents as adults? Why not aggregate a minimum of four standard Pediatric Age Groups into the 0-24 group? We can find a decent answer in Wikipedia, which has not been fact-checked yet (as of 14 May 2022) to reflect the new CDC understanding:
A common adage is that children are not simply "little adults". The clinician must take into account the immature physiology of the infant or child when considering symptoms, prescribing medications, and diagnosing illnesses.
Pediatric physiology directly impacts the pharmacokinetic properties of drugs that enter the body. The absorption, distribution, metabolism, and elimination of medications differ between developing children and grown adults.
Age, biological sex, and health status matter to general medical practice and research; likewise, to Covid.
The mortality risk of Covid differs greatly per age group and health status: the risk follows a rough logarithmic scale gradient based on age. But the Covid vaccine complications do not follow this pattern. Younger people can be at greater risk. Such is why Finland, among many other nations, has age-based restrictions.
Finland: Age-Based Restrictions
Many nations have imposed age-based restrictions on Covid vaccine usage. We will discuss the example of Finland. Finland, similar to Japan, does NOT mandate vaccination. Finland, also like Japan, has far better Covid Public Health Outcomes (scaled for population size) than the USA. Moreover, an estimated 78.2% of the Finnish population is — by their two-dosage standard — fully vaccinated.
The Finnish vaccine campaign is nuanced, and carefully balances risks and benefits:
The Moderna Spikevax is NOT offered to males under 30 years of age.
The Janssen vaccine is offered ONLY to people 65 years or older.
The Novavax Nuvaxovid vaccine, 18 years or older.
The Biontech-Pfizer's Comirnaty vaccine, those aged 12 years or older.
Under age12? Not normally recommended. But for those in this age group with pre-existing health conditions who would likely benefit from a Covid vaccination: “Children aged 5−11 years will be offered a smaller dose of Comirnaty that is meant for children.”
No celebration here, unlike on CNN, of vaccines for infants. The same holds for the UK and many other nations. No Covid vaccinations on offer for children under the age of 5. Given the mortality risk or near-complete lack thereof, these nations are in no hurry to experiment upon their most vulnerable population.
Why Age Restrictions and Vaccine-type Restrictions?
Please consider the following chart sourced from Hippisely-Cox, Julia, et alia, “Risk of myocarditis following sequential COVID-19 vaccinations by age and sex” (25 December 2021):
The bar to your far right (reddish-pink) is the risk estimate for myocarditis if infected with Covid (the prevailing variants at the time of study). The other bars indicate the risk estimate for myocarditis following various Covid vaccination doses.
You see clearly that in in four cases, the risk from the vaccine is higher than that from the disease. It breaks down as follows: the 2nd & 3rd dose of Pfizer; and the 1st and 2nd dose of Moderna.
Dr. Vinay Prasad (26 December 2021), who examined the study closely, observed:
But the truth is STILL WORSE than these data.
If the authors fixed the denominator for viral infection (i.e. used sero-prevalance), it would look even worse.
If the authors separate men 16-24 from 12-15 and 25-40, it would likely look worst in 16-24 age group.
Age and health status matter. Vaccine complications are real. Full stop.
A large-scale German study (medRxiv 2021.11.30.21267048) found that healthy children at ages 5 to 11 had virtually no Covid mortality risk.   As mentioned earlier, Finland, the UK, and other nations did not mandate vaccinating children in this age range — although various USA jurisdictions did (Prasad, 31 December 2021).
Vaccine Complications, Underestimating Complications
When discussing yet another study on age, vaccine complications, and Covid mortality risk, Dr. Prasad (31 December 2021) concluded:
“Boosting young men is nuts. Paul Offit is correct.” [Paul Offit, MD, is Director of the Vaccine Education Center and an attending physician in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia].
The CDC, Dr. Prasad has claimed elsewhere (5 April 2022), methodically “underestimates Vaccine Induced Myocarditis.” By method — by design. One good way to do this: Collapsing or outright ignoring relevant age categories.
Back to the CDC Data and Age Groups
By effacing — shall one say, “denying”? — the Age Groups standard to Pediatric Medicine, and by combining a minimum of four groups into the 0-24 Age Group, the CDC provides data to the public that deceptively aggregates the number of Covid-involved deaths of infants, children, adolescents, and young adults.
This deceptive aggregation effectively exaggerates the Covid mortality risk to infants, children, and adolescents. Why? Because the risk of Covid mortality differs greatly per age group and health status: again, the risk follows a rough logarithmic scale gradient based on age.
The CDC’s own data will show this — somewhat. But as mentioned earlier, in the CDC choice of Age Groups, Pediatric Medicine has been abolished. What has not been abolished: the risk of vaccine complications, and so the need for careful risk-benefit analysis.
But the CDC seems to currently recognize NO difference between a 2-year-old and a 22-year-old. None. Such a negation presents all sorts of dangers, given the current push to mandate Covid vaccination for this entire age-group: 0 to 24 years.
Now that you know what this CDC data set by DESIGN cannot reveal, let us have a look at the CDC data for “Comorbidities and other conditions.” Because the data for 2022 is less stable, we will focus on 2020 and 2021. Once more, the new phrasing is “deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019” — not deaths with or deaths from.
Data Set Notes
The CDC notes for this data set:
For over 5% of these deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned on the death certificate.
For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 4.0 additional conditions or causes per death.
In regard to average of four (4) additional conditions or causes of death, we would do better with a median estimate as well, as this distribution is surely skewed. But so be it. Based on the certificate information, for 94% of the deaths (subtract the “over 5%”), we had besides Covid one (1) or more cause/condition contributing to the death —with an average of four (4).
Let’s see that data. Please note for each year below, there is a small number of deaths without an assigned Age Group. For each year, however, the number of unassigned case amounts to a rounding error.
We will start year 2020, breaking down the Covid-involved deaths by Age Group.
The graph below takes the total number of Covid Deaths as 100%, and then assigns the number of deaths per Age Group the relevant percentage value. The sum total of the heights represented by the bars will round up to 100%.
Now, let’s do the same for 2021 — the key numbers by Age Group:
Likewise, the graph below takes the total number of Covid Deaths as 100%, and then assigns the number of deaths per Age Group the relevant percentage value. The sum total of the heights represented by the bars will round up to 100%.
At American Exile, we discussed earlier the disparity between 2020 (the year without vaccines), and 2021 (the year of vaccines, mandates, lockdowns, and Fauci unleashed). The Covid and general public health outcomes for 2021 are disturbingly worse.
But the CDC data still shows the more general trend. Younger people are simply at much less risk from Covid. But the risks of vaccine complications do not scale likewise. Younger people can be at higher risk — particularly so, when their mortality risk of Covid is factored into the overall risk/benefit analysis.
CDC Age Group Population Sizes
We can make better sense of these numbers — Covid Deaths per Age Group — by considering the population size of each Age Group, and then doing some simple math. Below, based on the USA Census data for 2019, our population percentage baseline for each CDC Age Group.
If the above graph looks different than say the graph at Wikipedia or the CIA World Factbook, you are correct. The typical Age Pyramid is either in continuous years or in 5-year bars/bins. The CDC data in fact combines five (5) USA Census data bins for the Age Group 0-24: Under 5 years; 5 to 9 years; 10 to 14 years; 15 to 19 years; and 20 to 24 years. So if the above representation appears distorted to you, blame the CDC. The first Age Group, 0-24, is a distortion by various established standards.
Simple Math Time
Time for some simple math. We divide the Percentage of Covid Deaths for each Age Group over the Population Percentage for each same Age Group. Got it? So total Covid Deaths equals 100%, and total Population equals 100%.
If the Covid mortality risk was NOT affected by Age, then each Age Group would have a percentage of deaths proportional to its population size. So an Age Group that was 20% of the population should have 20% of the Covid Deaths.
Vax everyone now! Regardless of risk! Boost! Boost! Boost! Wait, let’s first have a look at graphs.
Ratio of Covid Deaths to Population
We mentioned twice earlier the risk of Covid mortality follows roughly a logarithmic scale gradient based on age. The two following graphs show that reasonably well.
So let’s make sure we understand this —the data plotted. By the 2019 Census data, the Age Group 0-24 comprised roughly 31.7% of the USA population. But for deaths involving Covid in 2020, it comprised only 0.197% of all deaths involving Covid. 0.197 / 31.7 would give us roughly 0.0062.
(Again, please note the graphs immediately above and below reveal the Percentage of Covid Deaths / Percentage of Age Group population. In an earlier post — and when the CDC was using the Age Groups 0-17 and 18-29! — we broke down the Percentage of Covid Deaths to All Deaths per Age Group).
For deaths involving Covid in 2021, Age Group 0-24 comprised only 0.437 of all deaths involving Covid. 0.437 / 31.7 would give us roughly 0.0138. In the graph below for 2021, we see a progression similar to that of 2020.
But to quote one Dr. Vinay Prasad without his permission: “the truth is STILL WORSE than these data.” How so?
If we were to stratify these results into the generic Pediatric age ranges — infancy (birth to 2 years), childhood (2 to 12 years), and adolescence (12 to 21 years) — the mortality risk from Covid for healthy children would virtually vanish. But the risk from vaccine complications would remain.
Moreover, if we were to stratify these results in the standard Pediatric age ranges, we would have a far superior understanding of the risks which American children face. An understanding which evidently the CDC wishes to deny the American public.
Conspiracy talk? If you say so. No doubt the CDC has a perfectly reasonable explanation for why they cannot make the data available using Age Groups in accordance with the guidelines endorsed by American Academy of Pediatrics and the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. No doubt.
Such a burdensome and unreasonable request given how little is at stake: the safety, health, and well-being of American children. No delay to Big Pharma profiteering will be tolerated.
But what do Finland, Norway, Sweden, Japan, Denmark, and many other nations with far better public health outcomes for Covid than the USA have in common? These nations are NOT hellbent on getting American Big Pharma Covid vaccines put on their children vaccination schedules. Perhaps economic sanctions or the threat of military force would help change their public health policies.
For now, in Finland, Norway, Sweden, Japan, Denmark and elsewhere, Covid vaccines are being carefully age-restricted. The mRNA vaccines, being used with even greater caution. But for the American CDC, the ages 0 to 24 — just one giant blur. Newborn infants, recent college graduates: all the same. Same same same. Ungrateful little disease vectors. A direct threat to geriatricians like Nancy Pelosi or Joe Biden.
Sorry, Nancy. Sorry, Joe. At American Exile, we are here to disturb the narrative. We also think Pediatric Medicine still exists — well, at least outside the USA.
Learn from the data. Learn from success. Learn from Finland, Norway, Sweden, Japan and Denmark, to start. How did these nations get better — in some cases, far superior — Covid public health outcomes? Why do their policies differ — in some cases, drastically — from those of the USA? What do these public health experts know that our public health experts refuse to acknowledge? Why are these nations NOT hellbent on Covid vaccinating ALL the children NOW? Why is the USA?
Thank you for considering American Exile as an alternative source of analysis, commentary, and — context permitting — data journalism.
Standard disclaimer: Our link to or citation of any source or person does NOT imply that source or person in anyway endorses American Exile. Our preferred pronouns remain: “small fringe minority” & “unacceptable views.”